Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 167.425825 194.365045 225.564221 264.680958 312.853859 370.818963 4.467310e+02
2025-07-06 130.146682 163.130531 205.376975 264.596139 347.361982 461.947925 6.382435e+02
2025-07-13 115.036370 152.321200 203.719428 282.151086 403.389371 592.194920 9.276658e+02
2025-07-20 105.712079 146.301942 205.729444 303.169534 467.734680 753.275672 1.337016e+03
2025-07-27 94.693531 135.481520 198.002492 306.441837 503.152280 876.899160 1.742036e+03
2025-08-03 87.035877 128.273642 194.155223 314.504637 548.124855 1033.379171 2.310480e+03
2025-08-10 79.409771 119.901435 186.835702 314.553918 577.377811 1168.366035 2.922208e+03
2025-08-17 73.725866 113.864901 182.383615 318.703532 615.752108 1339.514398 3.779802e+03
2025-08-24 68.133466 107.253286 175.881532 317.435114 641.853272 1492.075531 4.730166e+03
2025-08-31 63.457431 101.664763 170.414890 317.123066 670.053657 1664.063975 5.959934e+03
2025-09-07 60.115064 98.047264 168.098462 322.951926 715.085851 1909.656163 7.879864e+03
2025-09-14 54.932874 90.575057 157.451735 308.552375 703.733313 1970.082524 8.953179e+03
2025-09-21 51.204088 85.801138 152.275035 307.498409 734.052297 2214.129452 1.181806e+04
2025-09-28 47.847905 81.441535 147.498043 306.853559 767.141402 2501.962396 1.599051e+04
2025-10-05 46.747799 81.265976 151.308262 328.049575 875.799467 3207.023654 2.745767e+04
2025-10-12 45.973677 81.620944 156.280220 353.559272 1012.077915 4218.528617 5.229076e+04
2025-10-19 43.685639 78.658647 153.484422 357.539812 1075.077520 4931.407932 8.330020e+04
2025-10-26 41.990272 76.739350 152.790876 367.357970 1166.338094 5974.659935 1.512445e+05
2025-11-02 39.854331 73.681231 149.035575 367.418021 1219.008291 6853.770044 2.564692e+05
2025-11-09 38.189968 71.475908 147.040352 372.476519 1297.400407 8119.331995 5.127185e+05
2025-11-16 36.318453 68.651505 143.189973 370.929895 1345.894377 9249.201850 1.005614e+06
2025-11-23 34.662851 66.162982 139.889165 370.549455 1401.379923 10627.505270 2.314175e+06
2025-11-30 33.485655 64.642691 138.865622 377.659205 1501.345109 12886.648507 8.907226e+06